Introduction
Materials and methods
Study design
Study setting
Study participants
Inclusion criteria
Exclusion criteria
Study procedure
Lactate measurement
Power and sample size
Main variables
Outcome variable
Exposure variables
Data collection
Data analysis
Ethics
Results
Participant characteristics
Perinatal mortality
Optimal cut offs for predicting perinatal death
Variables | Alive (n = 492) | Dead (n = 56) | Total (n = 548) |
---|---|---|---|
Birth weight, Kg
| |||
Normal (2.5–3.5) | 335 (68.1%) | 34 (60.7%) | 369 (67.3%) |
Low (< 2.5) | 14 (2.9%) | 2 (3.6%) | 16 (2.9%) |
High (> 3.5) | 143 (29.1%) | 20 (35.7%) | 163 (29.7%) |
Use of herbal medicine in labour
| |||
No | 218 (44.3%) | 13 (23.2%) | 231 (42.2%) |
Yes | 274 (55.7%) | 43 (76.8%) | 317 (57.9%) |
Referral status
| |||
No | 192 (39.0%) | 8 (14.3%) | 200 (36.5%) |
Yes | 300 (61.0%) | 48 (85.7%) | 348 (63.5%) |
Gravidity
| |||
2 to 4 | 162 (32.9%) | 17 (30.4%) | 179 (32.7%) |
PG | 266 (54.1%) | 29 (51.8%) | 295 (53.8%) |
5+ | 64 (13.1%) | 10 (17.9%) | 74 (13.5%) |
Maternal age, years
| |||
20 to 35 | 334 (67.9%) | 31 (55.4%) | 365 (66.6%) |
<20 | 133 (27.0%) | 21 (37.5%) | 154 (28.1%) |
>35 | 25 (5.1%) | 4 (7.1%) | 29 (5.3%) |
History of membrane
| |||
No | 97 (19.7%) | 5 (8.9%) | 102 (18.6%) |
Yes | 395 (80.3%) | 51 (91.1%) | 446 (81.4%) |
Attended ANC
| |||
Yes
| 489 (99.4%) | 56 (100.0%) | 545 (99.5%) |
No
| 3 (0.6%) | 0 (0.0%) | 3 (0.6%) |
*Gestation age
| 38 (38–39) | 38.5 (38–40) | 38 (38–40) |
*Mother’s weight
| 64 (58–71) | 61 (56–69.5) | 63 (58–70) |
*Mother’s height
| 159 (154–164) | 156.5 (151–163) | 159 (154–164) |
*Mother’s Pulse rate
| 88 (78–98) | 87.5 (76.5–108) | 88 (78–99) |
*SBP
| 123 (113–132) | 119.5 (109.5–130) | 123 (113–132) |
*DBP
| 78 (70–83) | 71 (65–80) | 78 (69–83) |
*FHR
| 136 (130–142) | 134 (100–148) | 136 (130–143) |
*Birth weight of newborn
| 3.3 (3–3.6) | 3.4 (2.9–3.6) | 3.3 (3–3.6) |
*Days in hospital
| 3 (2–4) | 3 (3–4) | 3 (2–4) |
Maternal Lactate baseline | Maternal Lactate 1 h | Myometrial Lactate | Umbilical Venous Lactate | Umbilical Arterial lactate | P value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ROC area (95% CI) | ROC area (95% CI) | ROC area (95% CI) | ROC area (95% CI) | ROC area (95% CI) | ||
Perinatal mortality | 59.3% (51.3–67.2) | 65.1% (57.6–72.6) | 71.2% (61.9–80.4) | 83.3% (76.6–90.1) | 86.0% (79.8–92.1) | < 0.0001 |
Neonatal Mortality | 52.6% (42.8–62.4) | 65.2% (55.4–74.9) | 63.6% (51.2–75.9) | 79.6% (71.3–87.8) | 80.4% (72.1–88.7) | 0.0003 |
Maternal Lactate baseline | Maternal Lactate 1 h | Myometrial Lactate | Umbilical Venous Lactate | Umbilical Arterial lactate | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Index | Index | Index | Index | Index | ||||||
Youden | Liu | Youden | Liu | Youden | Liu | Youden | Liu | Youden | Liu | |
‘Optimal’ cut-off for perinatal mortality
| 4.85 | 4.85 | 7.65 | 8.8 | 8.65 | 8.65 | 11.35 | 11.35 | 15.85 | 14.45 |
Sensitivity at cut-off | 79% | 79% | 70% | 64% | 59% | 59% | 80% | 80% | 66% | 70% |
Specificity at cut-off | 42% | 42% | 57% | 62% | 86% | 86% | 75% | 75% | 87% | 83% |
AUC at cut-off | 60% | 60% | 63% | 63% | 73% | 73% | 78% | 78% | 77% | 76% |
‘Optimal’ cut-off for early neonatal mortality (1–7 days)
| 3.95 | 4.85 | 7.35 | 7.75 | 8.75 | 5.85 | 10.15 | 10.85 | 10.75 | 10.75 |
Sensitivity at cut-off | 84% | 72% | 75% | 72% | 50% | 64% | 84% | 81% | 81% | 81% |
Specificity at cut-off | 31% | 40% | 53% | 56% | 84% | 66% | 67% | 69% | 63% | 63% |
AUC at cut-off | 58% | 56% | 64% | 64% | 67% | 65% | 76% | 75% | 72% | 72% |